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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
ST

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Sheriff Tiraspol

Dzeko (34'), Vidal (58'), de Vrij (67')
Dimarco (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Thill (52')
Cojocaru (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 18.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawSheriff Tiraspol
57.87%24.08%18.04%
Both teams to score 45.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43%54.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09%75.91%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31%18.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97%50.03%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.75%44.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.67%80.33%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 57.86%
    Sheriff Tiraspol 18.04%
    Draw 24.08%
Inter MilanDrawSheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 13.86%
2-0 @ 11.63%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 5.3%
4-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 0.92%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 57.86%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 3.87%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.74%
1-2 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.25%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 18.04%

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