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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 25, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
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Inter Milan
2 - 2
Atalanta

Martinez (5'), Dzeko (71')
Bastoni (12'), Calhanoglu (43'), Barella (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Malinovskyi (30'), Toloi (38')
Malinovskyi (4'), Luis Palomino (19'), Zapata (21'), Zappacosta (64'), Toloi (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
43.2%24.01%32.8%
Both teams to score 60.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.22%41.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.82%64.18%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43%19.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5%51.5%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.17%24.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.58%59.42%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 43.2%
    Atalanta BC 32.8%
    Draw 24%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.01%
1-0 @ 7.93%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 43.2%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 6.27%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.8%

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