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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
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Red Star
1 - 1
Sheriff Tiraspol

Diony (45+1')
Sanogo (26'), Kanga (32'), Krsticic (86'), Ivanic (90+5')
Kanga (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Castaneda (33')
Castaneda (65'), Julien (72'), Dulanto (84'), Bizjak (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawSheriff Tiraspol
42.67%23.83%33.5%
Both teams to score 61.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28%40.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9%63.1%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63%19.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84%51.15%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08%23.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87%58.13%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 42.67%
    Sheriff Tiraspol 33.5%
    Draw 23.82%
Red Star BelgradeDrawSheriff Tiraspol
2-1 @ 8.93%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 42.67%
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 6.39%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.74%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.5%

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