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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 18, 2021 at 5pm UK
San Siro
BL

Inter Milan
6 - 1
Bologna

Martinez (6'), Skriniar (30'), Barella (34'), Vecino (54'), Dzeko (62', 68')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Theate (86')
De Silvestri (23'), Hickey (36'), Dijks (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 72.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 3-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBologna
72.96%16.25%10.79%
Both teams to score 52.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.14%35.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.06%57.94%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.49%8.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.52%29.48%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86%43.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59%79.41%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 72.95%
    Bologna 10.79%
    Draw 16.25%
Inter MilanDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 9.16%
1-0 @ 9.05%
3-1 @ 7.7%
4-0 @ 5.64%
4-1 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 3.24%
5-0 @ 2.78%
5-1 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.99%
6-0 @ 1.14%
5-2 @ 0.98%
6-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 72.95%
1-1 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 3.94%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.25%
1-2 @ 3.2%
0-1 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 10.79%

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