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Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Nov 28, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
AB

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld

Angelino (29'), Nkunku (47')
Orban (85'), Kampl (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Klos (76')
van der Hoorn (38'), Lucoqui (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawArminia Bielefeld
60.51%22%17.49%
Both teams to score 50.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83%47.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6%69.4%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.86%15.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.28%43.72%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46%40.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.85%77.15%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 60.5%
    Arminia Bielefeld 17.49%
    Draw 22%
RB LeipzigDrawArminia Bielefeld
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-0 @ 10.93%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.22%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.23%
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 5.54%
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.5%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 17.49%

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