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Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitić
HL

Red Star
0 - 0
Hoffenheim


Kanga (24'), Milunovic (87')
FT

Bogarde (67'), Vogt (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawHoffenheim
36.21%26.93%36.86%
Both teams to score 51.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.91%54.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.49%75.51%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32%28.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5%64.5%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 36.21%
    Hoffenheim 36.85%
    Draw 26.92%
Red Star BelgradeDrawHoffenheim
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.11%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.85%

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