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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Siro
RS

AC Milan
1 - 1
Red Star

Kessie (9' pen.)
Ibrahimovic (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fardou Ben (24')
Gobeljic (8'), Srnic (45')
Gobeljic (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
54.1%25.26%20.63%
Both teams to score 46.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.21%55.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.08%76.91%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.37%20.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.81%53.19%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.98%42.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.55%78.44%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 54.09%
    Red Star Belgrade 20.63%
    Draw 25.26%
AC MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.93%
4-0 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.94%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 54.09%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 8.67%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.17%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 20.63%

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