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Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 18, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Red Star Stadium
ML

Red Star
2 - 2
AC Milan

Kanga (52' pen.), Pavkov (90+3')
Milunovic (54'), Rodic (57')
Rodic (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pankov (42' og.), Hernandez (61' pen.)
Romagnoli (51'), Mandzukic (71'), Donnarumma (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Red Star BelgradeDrawAC Milan
25.64%24.36%50%
Both teams to score 54.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48%47.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27%69.73%
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28%32.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73%69.27%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96%19.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.38%50.62%
Score Analysis
    Red Star Belgrade 25.65%
    AC Milan 49.99%
    Draw 24.36%
Red Star BelgradeDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.96%
2-1 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.65%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 10.33%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 5.29%
0-3 @ 4.74%
2-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.96%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 49.99%

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