Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.