Slavia Prague have conceded just twice in seven competitive games this season, so Lille have their work cut out to secure a first-leg lead.
The Ligue 1 club should just come out on top against a well-drilled away side, though, leaving this tie tantalisingly poised ahead of next week's return.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
