Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Sammy Ofer Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result |
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
46.72% ( 0.05) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 28.8% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% |
| 54.16% ( 0.01) | 45.83% ( -0.01) |
| 31.85% ( 0.01) | 68.15% ( -0.01) |
| 80.28% ( 0.02) | 19.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.27% ( 0.04) | 51.73% ( -0.04) |
| 70.57% ( -0.02) | 29.43% ( 0.02) |
