Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 15.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.56%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.39%), while for a Maccabi Haifa win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
0) 
-0.09) 
