SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
37.34% ( 0.36) | 27.3% ( -0.46) | 35.36% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( 1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( 1.74) | 55.6% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.23% ( 1.41) | 76.77% ( -1.41) |
| Hamrun Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 1.07) | 28.74% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 1.31) | 64.57% ( -1.32) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% ( 0.92) | 29.95% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% ( 1.1) | 66.06% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.3% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.35% |
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