SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partizan | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
35.42% ( -0.19) | 25.43% ( 0.03) | 39.15% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.17) | 47.73% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.16) | 69.92% ( 0.16) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.19) | 26.12% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( -0.25) | 61.18% ( 0.26) |
| Hamrun Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.94% ( 0) | 24.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( 0.01) | 58.34% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizan | Draw | Hamrun Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.42% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.15% |
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