SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Partizan had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Partizan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Partizan |
45.33% ( 0.59) | 23.04% ( 0.13) | 31.63% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 63.49% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( -0.95) | 37.58% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.18% ( -1.02) | 59.81% ( 1.02) |
| Hamrun Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.98% ( -0.15) | 17.01% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.85% ( -0.26) | 47.14% ( 0.25) |
| Partizan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% ( -0.87) | 23.49% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% ( -1.27) | 57.52% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Partizan |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.22% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.99% Total : 31.63% |
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