The teams have been in immense goalscoring form of late, so we expect goals at both ends. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out and having to settle for a share of the spoils at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Red Star Belgrade win it was 0-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
