Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.63%. A win for Porto had a probability of 19.58% and a draw had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (4.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
