Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
