Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.46%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 10.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
