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Champions League | Round of 16
Feb 17, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
JL

Porto
2 - 1
Juventus

Taremi (2'), Marega (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chiesa (82')
de Ligt (63'), Danilo (81'), Demiral (87'), Sandro (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawJuventus
49.32%22.69%27.99%
Both teams to score 62.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89%38.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62%60.37%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26%15.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16%44.84%
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95%26.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91%61.08%
Score Analysis
    Porto 49.32%
    Juventus 27.99%
    Draw 22.69%
PortoDrawJuventus
2-1 @ 9.43%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 5.81%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.91%
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.1%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-1 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.71%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.04%
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 27.99%

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