Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.