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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Nov 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
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Porto
3 - 1
Portimonense

Mbemba (45+2'), Taremi (46'), Oliveira (89')
Oliveira (56'), Corona (62'), Mbemba (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Beto (14')
Antonio (65'), Dener (75'), Cesar (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPortimonense
69.13%19.3%11.57%
Both teams to score 44.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.24%47.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.05%69.95%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3%12.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.08%38.92%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.67%84.33%
Score Analysis
    Porto 69.12%
    Portimonense 11.57%
    Draw 19.3%
PortoDrawPortimonense
2-0 @ 13.39%
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 9.41%
3-0 @ 9.21%
3-1 @ 6.47%
4-0 @ 4.75%
4-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.27%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-1 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 69.12%
1-1 @ 9.12%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 19.3%
0-1 @ 4.42%
1-2 @ 3.21%
0-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 11.57%


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