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PL
Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 13, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
BL

PSG
0 - 1
Bayern


Dagba (55'), Herrera (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (40')
Alaba (52'), Muller (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 38.6% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.55%) and 1-3 (4.84%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBayern Munich
38.6%18.97%42.42%
Both teams to score 81.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
84.67%15.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
68.88%31.11%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.89%10.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.73%33.27%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91%9.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.12%30.87%
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 38.6%
    Bayern Munich 42.42%
    Draw 18.97%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.78%
3-2 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 4.42%
4-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-3 @ 2.43%
2-0 @ 2.41%
1-0 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.84%
5-2 @ 1.39%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-3 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 38.6%
2-2 @ 6.94%
1-1 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 4.24%
4-4 @ 1.46%
0-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 6.05%
2-3 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.84%
2-4 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 2.64%
3-4 @ 2.54%
0-1 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-5 @ 1.6%
1-5 @ 1.39%
0-4 @ 1.27%
3-5 @ 1.22%
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 42.42%

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