Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.63%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.