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Champions League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 7, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
PL

Bayern
2 - 3
PSG

Maxim Choupo-Moting (37'), Muller (60')
Hernandez (35'), Kimmich (70'), Boateng (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mbappe (3', 68'), Marquinhos (28')
Draxler (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawParis Saint-Germain
49.73%20.86%29.4%
Both teams to score 70.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.98%28.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.24%48.76%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03%11.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63%37.37%
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98%20.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77%52.23%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 49.73%
    Paris Saint-Germain 29.41%
    Draw 20.86%
Bayern MunichDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 6.15%
2-0 @ 5.4%
1-0 @ 5.09%
3-2 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-2 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-3 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 8.18%
2-2 @ 6.98%
3-3 @ 2.65%
0-0 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.86%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-1 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-2 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.51%
1-4 @ 1.42%
3-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 29.41%

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