SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-3 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 2-1 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 12.27% | 16.57% | 71.16% |
| Both teams to score 56.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.87% | 33.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.12% | 54.88% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% | 38.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.47% | 75.53% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.77% | 8.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.21% | 28.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 3.58% 1-0 @ 3.02% 2-0 @ 1.43% 3-2 @ 1.41% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.27% | 1-1 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.19% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.57% | 0-2 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 8.29% 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-3 @ 7.85% 0-4 @ 5.18% 1-4 @ 4.9% 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-5 @ 2.59% 1-5 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 2.32% 2-5 @ 1.16% 0-6 @ 1.08% 1-6 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.25% Total : 71.16% |
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