Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
