Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.