Atalanta
5 - 1
Crotone

Gosens (12'), Luis Palomino (48'), Muriel (50'), Ilicic (58'), Miranchuk (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Simy (23')
Magallan (7'), Riviere (25')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Crotone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 12.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Crotone
71.85%	15.99%	12.17%

Both teams to score 58.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.63%

30.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.35%

51.65%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.59%

7.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.28%

26.72%

Crotone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.97%

37.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19%

73.82%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 71.85%

Crotone 12.17%

Draw 15.99%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Crotone
2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.98% 5-0 @ 2.73% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.59% 5-2 @ 1.35% 6-0 @ 1.18% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.85%	1-1 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.99%	1-2 @ 3.53% 0-1 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-2 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.17%