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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
IL

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Inter Milan

Benzema (25'), Ramos (33'), Rodrygo (80')
Mendy (48'), Valverde (62'), Casemiro (85'), Courtois (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martinez (35'), Perisic (68')
Vidal (44'), Brozovic (51'), Barella (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawInter Milan
44.09%23.58%32.33%
Both teams to score 61.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.07%39.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71%62.29%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55%18.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38%49.62%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44%58.56%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 44.09%
    Inter Milan 32.33%
    Draw 23.58%
Real MadridDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 7.55%
2-0 @ 6.38%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.6%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 44.09%
1-1 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 6.42%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 3.03%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32.33%


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