Salzburg
2 - 6
Bayern

Berisha (4'), Okugawa (66')
Camara (53'), Mwepu (85')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lewandowski (21' pen., 88'), Nissen (44' og.), Boateng (79'), Sane (83'), Hernandez (90+2')
Pavard (23'), Gnabry (68')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League match between Red Bull Salzburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 49.15%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 2-3 (5.46%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
30.97%	19.88%	49.15%

Both teams to score 75.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.91%

22.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.98%

41.02%

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79%

16.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3%

45.7%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.98%

10.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.94%

33.06%

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 30.97%

Bayern Munich 49.15%

Draw 19.88%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.18% 3-2 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 3.75% 1-0 @ 2.95% 2-0 @ 2.69% 4-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 4.27% Total : 30.97%	2-2 @ 7.12% 1-1 @ 6.8% 3-3 @ 3.31% 0-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 1.03% Total : 19.88%	1-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 6% 2-3 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 4.3% 0-1 @ 3.73% 1-4 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3.3% 2-4 @ 3.14% 3-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.9% 1-5 @ 1.59% 2-5 @ 1.45% Other @ 5.12% Total : 49.15%