SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.88%) and 1-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Stuttgart |
47.83% ( -0.88) | 21.58% ( 0.43) | 30.59% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 68.43% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.12% ( -1.93) | 30.88% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.75% ( -2.33) | 52.25% ( 2.32) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0.98) | 13.58% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% ( -1.99) | 40.7% ( 1.99) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0.72) | 20.81% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.52% ( -1.14) | 53.48% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.4)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)4-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.59% |
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