SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
69.08% ( 0.07) | 16.77% ( -0.04) | 14.15% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.44% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.79% ( 0.1) | 29.21% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.77% ( 0.13) | 50.23% ( -0.13) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.31% ( 0.04) | 7.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.59% ( 0.1) | 27.41% ( -0.11) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.02) | 33.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( 0.03) | 70.07% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 14.15% |
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