SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Barcelona |
53.49% ( 0.21) | 21.31% ( -0.08) | 25.2% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 64.72% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.27) | 33.81% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.35% ( 0.31) | 55.65% ( -0.31) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.14% ( 0.16) | 12.86% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.76% ( 0.32) | 39.24% ( -0.32) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% ( 0.05) | 25.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% ( 0.07) | 60.66% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Star Belgrade | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.49% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.2% |
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