SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Atalanta BC |
39.73% ( -1.22) | 24.64% ( 0.41) | 35.63% ( 0.83) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( -1.77) | 44.07% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( -1.75) | 66.46% ( 1.76) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( -1.35) | 22.15% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( -2.08) | 55.54% ( 2.09) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.36) | 24.29% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( -0.52) | 58.66% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.73% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.63% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
