Though their concentration lapsed at the end of last week's draw with Milan, Torino's defence has proven tough to breach this year, and even a change of management should not change that.
Atalanta still have plenty of talent available, but suffering so many disruptions may mean they can only come away from Turin with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.23) 
