SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Como had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Como |
50.11% ( -2.67) | 24.9% ( 0.48) | 24.98% ( 2.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( 0.06) | 50.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( 0.06) | 72.27% ( -0.05) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( -1.05) | 20.09% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.66% ( -1.71) | 52.34% ( 1.71) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 2.01) | 34.78% ( -2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 2.06) | 71.51% ( -2.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.63)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.51)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.11% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.98% |
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