Bologna could be bound for a remarkable seventh successive home draw, as they are set to score against hit-and-miss Atalanta but are also likely to be caught out at the other end.
The teams finished side-by-side in Serie A last season, and for all La Dea's individual quality, the Europa League winners tend to struggle on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.46) 
0.09) 
