SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 20 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 19 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Derry City | 20 | 15 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 20 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 19 | -7 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
55.02% ( 0.1) | 24.63% ( -0.11) | 20.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.38% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.22% ( 0.43) | 53.78% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 0.36) | 75.25% ( -0.36) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.2) | 19.48% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( 0.33) | 51.34% ( -0.33) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( 0.25) | 41.16% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.3% ( 0.23) | 77.7% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.01% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.35% |
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