SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
37.78% ( 0.03) | 26.95% ( 0.01) | 35.27% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.03) | 54.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.02) | 75.61% ( 0.02) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( 0) | 27.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.6% ( 0.01) | 63.4% ( -0.01) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( -0.03) | 29.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( -0.04) | 65.29% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.26% |
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