SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 21 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 21 | 5 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 21 | 21 | 45 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 20 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Derry City | 21 | 16 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
31.98% ( 3.58) | 27.53% ( 0.26) | 40.5% ( -3.83) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.03% ( 0.3) | 56.98% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.13% ( 0.24) | 77.88% ( -0.24) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 2.83) | 32.89% ( -2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( 3.03) | 69.47% ( -3.02) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( -1.89) | 27.59% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( -2.5) | 63.12% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.61)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.74)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.79) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.95)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.36)0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.26)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.49% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
