Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
61.74% ( -1.29) | 23.83% ( 0.76) | 14.43% ( 0.53) |
Both teams to score 39.2% ( -0.71) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( -1.7) | 58.87% ( 1.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( -1.33) | 79.37% ( 1.33) |
Shamrock Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -1.1) | 18.87% ( 1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% ( -1.87) | 50.33% ( 1.87) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.31% ( -0.22) | 51.68% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.2% ( -0.15) | 85.79% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Shelbourne |
1-0 @ 16.26% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.43% |
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