SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.81%) and 0-3 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
11.37% ( 2.34) | 19.72% ( 1) | 68.91% ( -3.33) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( 5.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( 2.12) | 49.93% ( -2.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.08% ( 1.87) | 71.92% ( -1.86) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.76% ( 6.02) | 51.24% ( -6.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.5% ( 3.69) | 85.5% ( -3.68) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.57% ( -0.34) | 13.42% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.62% ( -0.69) | 40.38% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.72)2-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.15% Total : 11.37% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.74) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.61)2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.69)Other @ 0.5% Total : 19.72% | 0-2 @ 13.86% ( -1.63) 0-1 @ 13.81% ( -1.42)0-3 @ 9.28% ( -1.22)1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.63)1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.35)0-4 @ 4.66% ( -0.68)1-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.44)0-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.3)1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.44% Total : 68.9% |
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