Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 6.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.11%) and 0-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.94%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
