Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
