Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.53%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 5.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 4-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (1.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
84.53%	10.38%	5.09%

Both teams to score 46.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.49%

48.51%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.39%

4.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.2%

18.8%

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.76%

51.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.5%

85.5%

Score Analysis

The New Saints 84.52%

Caernarfon Town 5.09%

Draw 10.38%

The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
3-0 @ 11.48% 2-0 @ 11.19% 4-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 7.68% 2-1 @ 7.48% 1-0 @ 7.27% 4-1 @ 5.91% 5-0 @ 5.44% 5-1 @ 3.64% 6-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-1 @ 1.87% 7-0 @ 1.23% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.95% Total : 84.52%	1-1 @ 4.86% 2-2 @ 2.5% 0-0 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.65% Total : 10.38%	1-2 @ 1.63% 0-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 1.89% Total : 5.09%