Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 76.12%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 9.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 2-1 (2.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
