Despite the difference in league positions, this has all the makings of a really tight game. While we would not be surprised if Blues earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring draw, the Baggies may just do enough to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
25.95%	27.47%	46.58%

Both teams to score 45.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.74%

59.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.33%

79.67%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15%

38.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42%

75.57%

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53%

25.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.69%

60.31%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 25.95%

West Bromwich Albion 46.58%

Draw 27.47%

Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 4.42% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.95%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 13.53% 0-2 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.75% 0-3 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 1.89% 0-4 @ 1.44% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.58%