Only a win will do for Coventry if they are to stand any chance of making the playoffs this season, and we are backing the visitors to collect all three points on Friday afternoon, with Gyokeres potentially adding to the 15 strikes that he has managed in the second tier this term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Coventry City
29.33%	27.2%	43.47%

Both teams to score 48.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39%

56.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.42%

77.58%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36%

34.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.64%

71.36%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17%

25.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2%

60.8%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 29.33%

Coventry City 43.47%

Draw 27.2%

Birmingham City	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.33%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.2%	0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.92% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.47%