Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
30.72%	28.69%	40.59%

Both teams to score 44.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.6%

61.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.71%

81.29%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85%

36.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07%

72.93%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33%

29.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29%

65.71%

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 30.72%

Cardiff City 40.59%

Draw 28.69%

Birmingham City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.72%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.69%	0-1 @ 13.03% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.59%