Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
