Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
44.06%	28.67%	27.27%

Both teams to score 43.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.46%

62.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.87%

82.13%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7%

28.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.98%

64.02%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.45%

39.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.76%

76.23%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 44.05%

Birmingham City 27.26%

Draw 28.67%

Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.67%	0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.26%